Znicz Pruszkow vs Polonia Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
58.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Znicz Pruszkow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2010 |
ZNI
2 - 1
RES
59%
24%
18%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
STA
1 - 0
ZNI
28%
26%
46%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
ZNI
1 - 0
STO
65%
21%
15%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
OLI
0 - 0
ZNI
31%
25%
44%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
ZNI
2 - 1
SWI
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Polonia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2009 |
POG
2 - 0
POL
26%
25%
49%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2009 |
NAC
3 - 1
POL
51%
24%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2009 |
POL
0 - 1
NAC
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2009 |
POL
4 - 0
JUV
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2009 |
JUV
0 - 1
POL
29%
26%
45%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |