Znicz Pruszkow vs Pogon Siedlce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
24.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
2º
11º
11º
9
15º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 72 |
1º
|
61.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 68 |
2º
|
38.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 63 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 60 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 60 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 59 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 54 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 50 |
8º
|
25.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 48 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 46 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 43 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 40 |
12º
|
19.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 38 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 34 |
14º
|
20% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 33 |
15º
|
20% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 29 |
16º
|
26.5% | |
|
17º
|
11 | 24 |
17º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
9 | 21 |
18º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
98.5% | 5.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 94.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Znicz Pruszkow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
CHO
3 - 2
ZNI
40%
25%
35%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
ZNI
2 - 3
CHR
50%
26%
25%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
WAR
1 - 1
ZNI
53%
26%
21%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ZNI
4 - 0
KOT
36%
27%
37%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
MIE
4 - 0
ZNI
67%
21%
13%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Pogon Siedlce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
POG
2 - 4
POL
38%
27%
35%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
LKS
2 - 0
POG
58%
22%
20%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
MOT
2 - 0
POG
61%
21%
19%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
POG
1 - 1
STA
22%
24%
54%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
STA
1 - 3
POG
41%
26%
34%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |