Cup Quarter-finals
Global 1-6
Znicz Pruszkow vs Lech Poznań analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
64%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
13%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Znicz Pruszkow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
PUS
0 - 1
ZNI
33%
27%
39%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
ZNI
2 - 0
NAD
59%
23%
18%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
KOT
1 - 1
ZNI
24%
26%
51%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2014 |
ZNI
2 - 0
ROZ
47%
27%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 2014 |
ZAG
3 - 2
ZNI
50%
26%
24%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2015 |
CRA
0 - 0
LPO
27%
27%
46%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
LPO
2 - 1
RCH
55%
23%
21%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
POG
1 - 1
LPO
35%
27%
38%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
LPO
2 - 0
PER
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
MET
0 - 5
LPO
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |