Znicz Biała Piska vs Polonia Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
61.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Znicz Biała Piska
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
BRA
2 - 4
ZBP
57%
21%
22%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
ZBP
2 - 1
RWM
79%
13%
8%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
1 - 0
ZBP
73%
19%
9%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
ZBP
1 - 0
USK
23%
21%
56%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
LWA
0 - 0
ZBP
67%
18%
15%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Polonia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
POL
2 - 1
SOK
71%
18%
11%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
OLI
0 - 1
POL
38%
24%
38%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
POL
2 - 1
PEL
72%
18%
11%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
POL
0 - 2
KSL
51%
23%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
BRA
4 - 3
POL
15%
19%
66%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | -1 |