Znamya vs Sever Murmansk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.7%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
68.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Znamya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
ZNA
1 - 4
KAR
23%
23%
54%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2011 |
DIK
0 - 1
ZNA
73%
17%
10%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2011 |
DVO
4 - 3
ZNA
82%
14%
5%
|
17 | 46 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2011 |
SAT
2 - 2
ZNA
80%
14%
7%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
ZNA
2 - 2
DNE
10%
22%
68%
|
13 | 47 | 34 | +3 |
Matches
Sever Murmansk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
SAT
2 - 2
SEV
47%
23%
30%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2011 |
SEV
0 - 2
LOK
25%
25%
50%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2011 |
SEV
2 - 2
DNE
30%
26%
44%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2011 |
PSK
2 - 0
SEV
56%
23%
21%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
DIN
6 - 0
SEV
73%
17%
11%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | -1 |