Znamya vs Rodina Moskva III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
32.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
1º
7º
7º
23
4º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
30 | 20 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
36 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
23 | 16 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 15 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 8 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 4 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Znamya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
YSP
1 - 2
ZNA
50%
22%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
ZNA
1 - 1
DIN
10%
20%
70%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
ZEN
1 - 1
ZNA
75%
15%
10%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
ZNA
2 - 1
FKE
64%
19%
17%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
ROM
0 - 0
ZNA
41%
23%
37%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Rodina Moskva III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
ROM
1 - 0
TOM
20%
20%
60%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
TVE
0 - 1
ROM
70%
17%
14%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
ROM
0 - 2
KHI
22%
21%
57%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
DIN
1 - 2
ROM
80%
12%
8%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
ROM
0 - 0
ZNA
41%
23%
37%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |