Znamya vs Karelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
28.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Znamya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2015 |
PSK
2 - 4
ZNA
76%
16%
8%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
ZNA
2 - 3
STR
22%
23%
55%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
KOL
2 - 0
ZNA
29%
23%
48%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
ZNA
3 - 2
SPA
25%
26%
49%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2015 |
TOR
3 - 2
ZNA
74%
17%
9%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Karelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2015 |
KAR
1 - 2
FCD
25%
22%
53%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
KAR
0 - 2
SOL
24%
24%
53%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | -3 |
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
PSK
0 - 1
KAR
73%
17%
9%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
KAR
0 - 3
STR
31%
24%
45%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2015 |
DNE
2 - 0
KAR
49%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |