Znamya vs Smolensk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
22.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Znamya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
ZNA
1 - 1
DIN
18%
23%
59%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2021 |
FKL
2 - 1
ZNA
67%
20%
13%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
ZSP
0 - 0
ZNA
46%
23%
31%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
ZNA
3 - 1
ZEN
11%
20%
69%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2021 |
TOR
2 - 3
ZNA
63%
22%
15%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Smolensk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
FSM
0 - 2
FKR
18%
22%
60%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2021 |
TOR
0 - 1
FSM
71%
17%
13%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
FSM
0 - 1
FKL
21%
24%
56%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
FSM
1 - 3
DIN
20%
23%
58%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
VIT
0 - 6
FSM
78%
15%
7%
|
32 | 66 | 34 | +1 |