Znamya Noginsk vs Peresvet Podolsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
20.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
1º
1º
19
3º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
42 | 25 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 24 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 19 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 17 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 13 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 13 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 12 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 11 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Znamya Noginsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2023 |
ZAN
4 - 1
SPA
54%
21%
25%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
ARS
2 - 0
ZAN
45%
24%
32%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ZAN
3 - 1
STR
40%
24%
36%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +2 |
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
FKO
0 - 2
ZAN
52%
23%
25%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
ZAN
2 - 0
SAK
43%
24%
33%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Peresvet Podolsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2023 |
KHI
4 - 2
FPP
66%
18%
17%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
FPP
1 - 1
SKA
62%
19%
19%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 3
FPP
34%
22%
44%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
FPP
0 - 1
KOL
53%
20%
27%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
FPP
0 - 1
ZAN
60%
19%
20%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |