Zitacuaro vs Faraones Texcoco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
7.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+128%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
4º
10º
7º
4
3º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
5 | 23 |
1º
|
36.5% | |
|
1º
|
6 | 23 |
2º
|
28.5% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 21 |
3º
|
13.5% | |
|
2º
|
6 | 20 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
2 | 19 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 18 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
1 | 15 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 15 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
5 | 12 |
9º
|
25% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 10 |
10º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
4 | 9 |
11º
|
30% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 6 |
12º
|
64.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
51.5% | 5.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
48% | 94.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zitacuaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
RVC
1 - 0
ZIT
36%
25%
39%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ZIT
0 - 0
CDC
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
ZIT
1 - 1
CAL
23%
26%
51%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
CIE
3 - 3
ZIT
16%
22%
63%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ALE
1 - 0
ZIT
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Faraones Texcoco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CFT
3 - 1
PDC
15%
21%
64%
|
7 | 50 | 43 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
TCS
2 - 2
CFT
48%
21%
31%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |