Zitacuaro vs CD Chilpancingo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
29.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
4º
10º
7º
2
3º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
5 | 23 |
1º
|
36.5% | |
|
1º
|
6 | 23 |
2º
|
28.5% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 21 |
3º
|
13.5% | |
|
2º
|
6 | 20 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
|
9º
|
2 | 19 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 18 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
1 | 15 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 15 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
5 | 12 |
9º
|
25% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 10 |
10º
|
26.5% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 9 |
11º
|
30% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 6 |
12º
|
64.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0.5% | 5.5% |
|
Play-offs
|
51.5% | 82% |
|
Mid-table
|
48% | 12.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zitacuaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
ZIT
1 - 1
CAL
23%
26%
51%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
CIE
3 - 3
ZIT
16%
22%
63%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ALE
1 - 0
ZIT
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
ZIT
0 - 3
THM
56%
23%
20%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ZIT
0 - 1
PDC
25%
26%
48%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
CD Chilpancingo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
MAZ
2 - 2
CDC
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
CDC
1 - 2
CAA
78%
15%
7%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
HUR
2 - 3
CDC
45%
24%
31%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
THM
1 - 0
CDC
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
CDC
2 - 0
CCM
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |