Zirl vs Kirchbichl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.3%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
74.1%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.5%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.1%
0-5
3%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zirl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
KEM
1 - 1
ZIR
84%
11%
5%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
ZIR
1 - 1
UNI
9%
15%
76%
|
9 | 25 | 16 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
ZIR
0 - 3
WAT
13%
19%
68%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
FUG
2 - 1
ZIR
86%
10%
5%
|
9 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2014 |
ZIR
1 - 3
MAT
10%
15%
75%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Kirchbichl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
KIR
1 - 2
HAL
73%
16%
11%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
KIR
2 - 2
KEM
63%
18%
19%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
KIR
2 - 0
REU
69%
17%
14%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
WAT
3 - 2
KIR
39%
22%
39%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
KIR
3 - 1
MOT
79%
13%
9%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | +1 |