Ukrainian Premier League Promotion Final
Global 1-5
Zirka Kirovohrad vs Desna Chernihiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
26%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zirka Kirovohrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2018 |
CHO
1 - 0
ZIR
34%
29%
37%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
ZIR
1 - 1
KPT
41%
28%
31%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
PFC
1 - 0
ZIR
57%
25%
19%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
ZIR
2 - 0
OLI
40%
28%
33%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
STA
1 - 1
ZIR
36%
29%
36%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Desna Chernihiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2018 |
DES
5 - 0
HEL
73%
18%
9%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
INH
1 - 3
DES
34%
30%
36%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
DES
3 - 0
MFK
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2018 |
OBO
0 - 2
DES
20%
26%
55%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
DES
4 - 1
KRE
72%
19%
10%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |