Zira FK vs Neftçi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
30%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
1º
6º
5º
4
4º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 69 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 60 |
2º
|
29.5% | |
|
3º
|
14 | 57 |
3º
|
21% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 54 |
4º
|
22% | |
|
|
5º
|
12 | 53 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 52 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
4 | 47 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 44 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 39 |
9º
|
33.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 25 |
10º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
4.5% | 1.5% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
7.5% | 4% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
24.5% | 20% |
|
Mid-table
|
63.5% | 73% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zira FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ZIR
1 - 3
QAR
37%
26%
37%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
ZIR
1 - 0
OMO
27%
26%
47%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ZIR
0 - 1
SHA
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
OMO
6 - 0
ZIR
62%
23%
15%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
ZIR
2 - 2
OSI
22%
25%
54%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 0
FKN
37%
28%
36%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ARA
1 - 1
FKN
40%
28%
32%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FKN
0 - 2
SFK
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SEB
1 - 1
FKN
37%
27%
37%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FKN
0 - 0
TUR
52%
25%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |