Zira FK vs Araz PFK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
34.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
6º
2º
36
3º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
83 | 83 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zira FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
FKN
1 - 0
ZIR
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
SUM
0 - 0
ZIR
35%
29%
36%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
ZIR
1 - 0
FKQ
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SFK
0 - 1
ZIR
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ZIR
2 - 2
SEB
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Araz PFK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
ARA
1 - 1
SEB
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2023 |
KAF
1 - 6
ARA
3%
8%
90%
|
71 | 7 | 64 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
FKN
1 - 1
ARA
43%
26%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
ARA
0 - 1
FCK
64%
22%
14%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
SUM
2 - 0
ARA
27%
28%
45%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |