Zimbru Chişinău vs Spartanii Selemet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
7.3%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
1º
3º
2º
8
4º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 32 |
1º
|
88% | |
|
|
2º
|
13 | 24 |
2º
|
43% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 24 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 22 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 21 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
8 | 13 |
6º
|
58% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 11 |
7º
|
49% | |
|
8º
|
1 | 6 |
8º
|
70.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 71% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 29% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zimbru Chişinău
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FCD
0 - 1
ZIM
22%
25%
53%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ZIM
1 - 2
SHF
36%
27%
37%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FLO
0 - 8
ZIM
26%
26%
48%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ZIM
4 - 1
MIL
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
ZIM
4 - 0
ZAR
55%
24%
22%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Spartanii Selemet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
PET
2 - 2
SPA
82%
13%
5%
|
46 | 75 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ZAR
1 - 0
SPA
73%
17%
11%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
FCD
0 - 1
SPA
69%
18%
13%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SHF
1 - 0
SPA
79%
15%
6%
|
45 | 75 | 30 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FLO
0 - 0
SPA
71%
17%
12%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +1 |