Q. Europa League Primera Ronda Final
Global 3-2
Zimbru Chişinău vs Okzhetpes Kokshetau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zimbru Chişinău
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
TIR
1 - 1
ZIM
38%
30%
32%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
ZIM
3 - 2
TIT
74%
18%
8%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
NIS
2 - 0
ZIM
41%
29%
30%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
ZIM
3 - 1
TIG
63%
22%
15%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2009 |
ZIM
1 - 1
DAC
44%
25%
31%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Okzhetpes Kokshetau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
AST
2 - 1
OKZ
70%
20%
10%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2009 |
OKZ
1 - 5
SHA
25%
27%
48%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2009 |
VOS
1 - 0
OKZ
49%
24%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2009 |
ORD
4 - 0
OKZ
44%
28%
28%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
TAR
0 - 1
OKZ
59%
23%
19%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |