Zimbabwe vs Uganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
35.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zimbabwe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
ZIM
0 - 0
MAR
23%
28%
49%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2014 |
ZIM
2 - 0
GAB
33%
26%
40%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
RSA
1 - 2
ZIM
69%
21%
10%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
ZIM
1 - 1
MOZ
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
ZIM
0 - 2
ZAM
22%
25%
54%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
UGA
2 - 1
BFA
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2014 |
UGA
3 - 0
MTN
81%
13%
6%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
EGY
3 - 0
UGA
83%
12%
5%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
SEN
1 - 0
UGA
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
EGY
3 - 0
UGA
83%
12%
5%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |