CAF Qualifying 1ra Ronda Final
Global 2-3
Zimbabwe vs Tanzania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
24.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zimbabwe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
TAN
1 - 0
ZIM
29%
26%
45%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
MWI
1 - 4
ZIM
37%
26%
37%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
ZIM
0 - 1
NGA
20%
28%
52%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
ZIM
0 - 0
LBY
41%
29%
30%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
MLI
1 - 2
ZIM
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Tanzania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2014 |
TAN
1 - 0
MWI
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
TAN
1 - 0
ZIM
29%
26%
45%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
TAN
0 - 3
BDI
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
NAM
1 - 1
TAN
36%
27%
38%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
GAM
2 - 0
TAN
42%
26%
32%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |