Zimbabwe vs South Africa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
52.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zimbabwe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
CPV
2 - 1
ZIM
43%
26%
32%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
ZIM
3 - 0
LBR
58%
22%
20%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
ZIM
2 - 0
ZAM
27%
26%
47%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
ZIM
2 - 1
MLI
28%
28%
44%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
MLI
1 - 0
ZIM
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
RSA
1 - 1
CIV
34%
28%
39%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
RSA
0 - 0
SLE
67%
21%
12%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
NIG
2 - 1
RSA
14%
24%
62%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
RSA
3 - 0
BFA
65%
22%
13%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
EGY
0 - 0
RSA
70%
18%
12%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |