Zimbabwe vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
30%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zimbabwe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1987 |
MWI
2 - 1
ZIM
49%
24%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1987 |
MWI
1 - 4
ZIM
52%
24%
25%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 1986 |
ZIM
2 - 4
MWI
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 1986 |
MWI
1 - 1
ZIM
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1985 |
ZIM
2 - 1
MOZ
64%
19%
18%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1987 |
CIV
1 - 0
NGA
60%
22%
19%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1987 |
NGA
0 - 0
CIV
49%
25%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1985 |
TUN
2 - 0
NGA
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1985 |
NGA
1 - 0
TUN
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 1985 |
CIV
1 - 1
NGA
61%
21%
19%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |