Zimbabwe vs Kenya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
42.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zimbabwe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
SWZ
1 - 0
ZIM
25%
25%
50%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
ZIM
0 - 3
SWZ
59%
24%
17%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2024 |
ZIM
3 - 1
NAM
38%
28%
35%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
NAM
0 - 1
ZIM
42%
27%
32%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
ZIM
0 - 0
CMR
16%
25%
59%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Kenya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
KEN
1 - 1
SSD
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SSD
2 - 0
KEN
9%
16%
75%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2024 |
KEN
0 - 1
CMR
22%
28%
51%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
CMR
4 - 1
KEN
61%
24%
15%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
NAM
1 - 2
KEN
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |