Zimbabwe vs Kenya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
33.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zimbabwe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ZAM
2 - 2
ZIM
67%
19%
14%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
ZIM
1 - 1
NGA
15%
23%
62%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2023 |
RWA
0 - 0
ZIM
31%
27%
42%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
ZIM
0 - 3
MWI
53%
27%
21%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
MWI
3 - 0
ZIM
26%
27%
48%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Kenya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
MWI
0 - 4
KEN
40%
27%
33%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2023 |
SYC
0 - 5
KEN
9%
19%
71%
|
61 | 29 | 32 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
GAB
2 - 1
KEN
46%
27%
27%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
KEN
2 - 2
RUS
8%
19%
73%
|
61 | 87 | 26 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
KEN
0 - 1
SSD
62%
22%
17%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | -1 |