Zimbabwe vs Kenya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
20.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zimbabwe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
KEN
2 - 0
ZIM
34%
27%
39%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
ZIM
2 - 0
NAM
68%
20%
12%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
GUI
0 - 0
ZIM
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
BOT
0 - 1
ZIM
31%
27%
42%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2008 |
RSA
2 - 1
ZIM
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Kenya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
KEN
2 - 0
ZIM
34%
27%
39%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2008 |
KEN
2 - 0
GUI
28%
27%
45%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2008 |
NAM
2 - 1
KEN
33%
25%
42%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2007 |
UGA
4 - 2
KEN
56%
23%
21%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2007 |
KEN
2 - 0
SOM
70%
18%
12%
|
65 | 36 | 29 | 0 |