Zimbabwe vs Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
48.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zimbabwe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
COM
0 - 0
ZIM
7%
16%
77%
|
66 | 10 | 56 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
ZIM
2 - 0
COM
80%
15%
5%
|
66 | 10 | 56 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
MWI
1 - 2
ZIM
36%
27%
38%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2015 |
NAM
4 - 1
ZIM
24%
25%
51%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2015 |
SYC
0 - 1
ZIM
12%
20%
69%
|
66 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
LBR
1 - 1
GUI
13%
18%
68%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2015 |
GUI
3 - 1
LBR
73%
16%
11%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2015 |
GUI
1 - 2
SWZ
77%
16%
7%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
GUI
1 - 2
CHA
84%
11%
4%
|
74 | 48 | 26 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
GHA
3 - 0
GUI
60%
22%
19%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |