Zimbabwe vs Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
35%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zimbabwe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
ZIM
1 - 0
BOT
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
ZAM
5 - 4
ZIM
46%
27%
27%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
ZIM
0 - 0
KEN
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
KEN
2 - 0
ZIM
34%
27%
39%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
ZIM
2 - 0
NAM
68%
20%
12%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
GUI
1 - 2
CIV
29%
28%
42%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
GUI
4 - 0
NAM
74%
17%
9%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
NAM
1 - 2
GUI
22%
25%
53%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2008 |
KEN
2 - 0
GUI
28%
27%
45%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
GUI
0 - 0
ZIM
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |