Zimbabwe vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.7%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.9%
19%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
72.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.1%
0-2
16%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zimbabwe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
ZIM
2 - 1
MWI
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
RSA
3 - 0
ZIM
62%
23%
15%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2010 |
ZIM
0 - 6
SYR
27%
25%
48%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2009 |
THA
3 - 0
ZIM
64%
20%
16%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
ZIM
3 - 1
ZAM
29%
27%
44%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2010 |
IRL
0 - 2
BRA
18%
24%
58%
|
99 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2009 |
OMA
0 - 2
BRA
11%
20%
70%
|
100 | 84 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
BRA
1 - 0
ENG
60%
22%
18%
|
100 | 99 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2009 |
BRA
0 - 0
VEN
85%
11%
4%
|
100 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
BOL
2 - 1
BRA
11%
20%
69%
|
100 | 83 | 17 | 0 |