Zimbabwe vs Namibia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
12%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zimbabwe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
GUI
0 - 0
ZIM
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
BOT
0 - 1
ZIM
31%
27%
42%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2008 |
RSA
2 - 1
ZIM
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
ZIM
3 - 1
MWI
61%
22%
16%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2007 |
MOZ
3 - 1
ZIM
29%
27%
44%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Namibia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2008 |
NAM
2 - 1
KEN
33%
25%
42%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
NAM
1 - 3
MWI
36%
24%
40%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2008 |
GUI
1 - 1
NAM
82%
13%
5%
|
55 | 78 | 23 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2008 |
GHA
1 - 0
NAM
83%
13%
4%
|
55 | 83 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2008 |
NAM
1 - 5
MAR
7%
20%
74%
|
56 | 88 | 32 | -1 |