CHAN Segunda Ronda Final
Global 7-1
Zimbabwe vs Mauritius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.2%
+3
14.4%
2-0
18.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.4%
1-0
18.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
18.3%
6.5%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zimbabwe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2019 |
MUS
0 - 4
ZIM
10%
18%
72%
|
69 | 42 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
ZIM
0 - 4
COD
33%
26%
40%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2019 |
UGA
1 - 1
ZIM
37%
28%
36%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2019 |
EGY
1 - 0
ZIM
72%
17%
11%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
TAN
1 - 1
ZIM
28%
26%
46%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Mauritius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2019 |
MUS
0 - 4
ZIM
10%
18%
72%
|
42 | 69 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2019 |
COM
2 - 1
MUS
26%
25%
49%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
SWZ
2 - 2
MUS
54%
24%
23%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
FIJ
1 - 0
MUS
60%
22%
19%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
IDN
1 - 0
MUS
69%
18%
13%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | -1 |