Zimbabwe vs Malawi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
20.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zimbabwe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2016 |
ZIM
2 - 0
UGA
32%
28%
40%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
ZIM
4 - 0
SWZ
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
SWZ
1 - 1
ZIM
18%
23%
59%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
UGA
1 - 1
ZIM
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
ZIM
0 - 1
MLI
24%
25%
51%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
MWI
1 - 2
GUI
18%
23%
59%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
GUI
0 - 0
MWI
71%
19%
10%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
MWI
1 - 0
TAN
45%
26%
30%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
TAN
2 - 0
MWI
36%
27%
37%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
SWZ
2 - 2
MWI
28%
28%
44%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |