Zimbabwe vs Madagascar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zimbabwe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2017 |
MOZ
0 - 4
ZIM
28%
27%
45%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
ZIM
3 - 0
LBR
54%
23%
23%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ZIM
0 - 0
ZAM
33%
28%
40%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2017 |
ZIM
2 - 4
TUN
22%
26%
52%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2017 |
SEN
2 - 0
ZIM
66%
21%
14%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2017 |
MAD
2 - 0
SYC
75%
17%
9%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2017 |
SDN
1 - 3
MAD
44%
25%
31%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
MWI
0 - 1
MAD
47%
25%
27%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
MAD
1 - 0
MWI
34%
27%
40%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
MAD
3 - 2
STP
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |