Zeta vs Mogren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
28.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zeta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2010 |
DEC
0 - 0
ZET
30%
27%
43%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
MOR
0 - 0
ZET
20%
27%
54%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
ZET
2 - 1
MLA
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
ZET
1 - 0
GRB
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
BUD
0 - 0
ZET
59%
22%
19%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Mogren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
MOG
0 - 0
GRB
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2010 |
BAR
1 - 1
MOG
26%
23%
50%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
BUD
1 - 2
MOG
56%
23%
22%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
MOG
1 - 0
RUD
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
DEC
0 - 1
MOG
29%
27%
44%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |