Zeta vs Igalo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
14.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
4º
9º
9º
38
2º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 61 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 56 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 56 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 54 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 51 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
38 | 45 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 45 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 41 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 39 |
10º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
19.5% | 75.5% |
|
Relegation
|
80.5% | 24.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zeta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
BER
2 - 0
ZET
31%
27%
42%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ZET
0 - 2
FKM
44%
26%
31%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ZET
2 - 0
OUL
71%
18%
11%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
KOM
1 - 2
ZET
34%
28%
38%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ZET
2 - 3
MLJ
45%
27%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Igalo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
IGA
1 - 2
GRB
54%
25%
21%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
OFK
1 - 1
IGA
48%
24%
27%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
IGA
0 - 1
BOK
28%
29%
43%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
BER
2 - 1
IGA
33%
26%
41%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
IGA
0 - 0
FKM
29%
26%
45%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |