Zeta vs Otrant Ulcinj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
10.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
4º
9º
9º
38
5º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 61 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 56 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 56 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 54 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 51 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 45 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 45 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 41 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 39 |
10º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
19.5% | 88.5% |
|
Relegation
|
80.5% | 11.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zeta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
KOM
1 - 2
ZET
34%
28%
38%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ZET
2 - 3
MLJ
45%
27%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BOK
2 - 1
ZET
38%
28%
34%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
GRB
0 - 1
ZET
19%
26%
55%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
ZET
1 - 3
RUD
45%
25%
30%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Otrant Ulcinj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
OUL
0 - 0
GRB
42%
26%
32%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
OFK
2 - 0
OUL
60%
21%
19%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
OUL
1 - 1
IGA
31%
27%
42%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
BER
1 - 1
OUL
41%
25%
35%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
OUL
1 - 2
FKM
22%
25%
54%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |