Zeta vs Bar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
15.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zeta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
SUT
1 - 1
ZET
41%
28%
31%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
ZET
2 - 0
LOV
65%
22%
13%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
PET
2 - 0
ZET
39%
28%
33%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
ZET
2 - 0
DEC
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
ZET
1 - 2
MOG
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Bar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 0
GRB
42%
27%
30%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
BUD
1 - 0
BAR
71%
18%
11%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
BAR
0 - 2
RUD
36%
28%
36%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
DEC
1 - 1
BAR
42%
29%
29%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
MLA
1 - 0
BAR
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |