Zestafoni vs Merani Tbilisi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
27.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+95%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zestafoni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2024 |
MER
2 - 1
ZES
59%
21%
20%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
ZES
0 - 0
GAR
51%
23%
26%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2024 |
SKU
0 - 3
ZES
16%
20%
65%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
BET
2 - 2
ZES
56%
23%
22%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
ZES
2 - 1
GON
45%
24%
30%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Merani Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2024 |
NOR
0 - 1
BAK
49%
23%
27%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
BOR
0 - 0
NOR
42%
23%
35%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2024 |
SUL
1 - 3
NOR
24%
21%
55%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
NOR
3 - 0
LTB
34%
24%
42%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +4 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
GUR
1 - 1
NOR
51%
21%
28%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |