Zestafoni vs Gagra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
9%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zestafoni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
SAM
0 - 2
ZES
20%
26%
53%
|
75 | 51 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
ZES
0 - 0
LOK
70%
19%
11%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2009 |
HEL
2 - 2
ZES
67%
20%
14%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2009 |
ZES
1 - 2
HEL
38%
24%
38%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2009 |
ZES
6 - 0
LIS
70%
19%
12%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
GAG
4 - 0
WIT
21%
26%
53%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
GAG
2 - 0
MEA
46%
27%
27%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
ZES
6 - 0
GAG
76%
17%
8%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
GAG
0 - 1
MET
27%
29%
45%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2009 |
LOK
0 - 1
GAG
58%
24%
18%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |