CAF Champions Quarter-finals
Global 5-2
Zesco United vs Stade Malien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
58.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zesco United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
ZES
3 - 0
NKW
53%
24%
23%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
STA
1 - 3
ZES
76%
17%
7%
|
41 | 62 | 21 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
POW
1 - 2
ZES
55%
24%
21%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
HOR
2 - 0
ZES
83%
13%
5%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | -2 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
ZES
4 - 1
HOR
47%
24%
29%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -22 |
Matches
Stade Malien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2016 |
STA
2 - 0
BOU
53%
26%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
STA
1 - 3
ZES
76%
17%
7%
|
62 | 41 | 21 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
STA
1 - 1
ONZ
47%
27%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
STA
2 - 1
SAB
61%
23%
16%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
COT
1 - 0
STA
48%
25%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |