Zesco United vs Red Arrows analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zesco United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
GRE
0 - 1
ZES
42%
27%
31%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
ZES
2 - 1
ZAN
51%
23%
25%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
KAB
1 - 2
ZES
42%
27%
32%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
ZES
4 - 1
LUR
58%
23%
19%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 3
ZES
45%
26%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Red Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
NKW
2 - 0
RED
36%
29%
35%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
RED
2 - 0
EAG
44%
29%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
IND
1 - 1
RED
54%
24%
22%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
POW
1 - 0
RED
48%
25%
26%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
RED
1 - 0
PRL
40%
27%
33%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |