Zesco United vs Nkwazi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zesco United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
NKA
1 - 2
ZES
53%
23%
24%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2020 |
ZES
2 - 1
POW
53%
26%
22%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -17 |
| 18 Dec. 2020 |
EAG
0 - 0
ZES
37%
29%
34%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
ZES
3 - 2
IND
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
RED
0 - 0
ZES
29%
28%
43%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nkwazi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2021 |
NKW
0 - 0
LUD
39%
29%
32%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
NKW
1 - 3
POW
32%
32%
37%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -11 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
EAG
0 - 0
NKW
56%
26%
19%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
NKW
1 - 0
IND
37%
29%
35%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
RED
1 - 2
NKW
48%
29%
23%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |