Zesco United vs Nkana FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zesco United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
MUS
1 - 2
ZES
23%
22%
55%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
ZES
1 - 0
RED
52%
24%
23%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
ZAN
1 - 1
ZES
54%
25%
22%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ZES
1 - 2
KAB
53%
25%
23%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
KAD
1 - 1
ZES
39%
28%
32%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Nkana FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
NKA
0 - 2
POW
47%
26%
27%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
KON
1 - 2
NKA
40%
27%
33%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
NKA
1 - 3
NKW
47%
27%
26%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
PRL
0 - 1
NKA
47%
25%
28%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
NKA
1 - 1
NAP
40%
27%
33%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |