CAF Champions Last 16
Global 2-2
Zesco United vs AS Kaloum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
64.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zesco United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
ZES
1 - 0
MBA
40%
25%
35%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
MBA
1 - 1
ZES
55%
24%
21%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
ZES
3 - 1
KAB
53%
26%
21%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
LEO
2 - 0
ZES
39%
30%
32%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ZES
0 - 0
ZAN
51%
25%
24%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
AS Kaloum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ASD
1 - 0
SEW
51%
24%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ASD
0 - 1
HAF
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
SEW
1 - 2
ASD
48%
24%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2015 |
ASD
2 - 0
SAT
47%
28%
25%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ASD
1 - 1
SAN
54%
26%
20%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |