Zesco United vs Al Ahly SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.9%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
70.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zesco United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
NKA
1 - 2
ZES
55%
25%
21%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
ZES
1 - 1
ZAN
53%
24%
23%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2016 |
NCH
0 - 2
ZES
45%
28%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
ZES
0 - 0
LUT
54%
23%
23%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 0
ZES
43%
29%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Al Ahly SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2016 |
ALA
2 - 3
ALM
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2016 |
ALA
2 - 0
ELD
67%
20%
14%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2016 |
MOK
0 - 3
ALA
37%
28%
35%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2016 |
ALA
4 - 3
ROM
21%
22%
57%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2016 |
ALA
2 - 0
EEE
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |