CAF Champions Quarter-finals
Global 0-1
Zesco United vs Al Ahly SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.1%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
67.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.8%
0-2
15%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zesco United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
ZES
0 - 1
NKW
49%
26%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2011 |
ZES
2 - 0
KAB
52%
27%
21%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
YOU
0 - 2
ZES
44%
27%
30%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -4 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
ZES
5 - 0
YOU
47%
26%
26%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
WYD
2 - 1
ZES
77%
16%
7%
|
44 | 71 | 27 | -1 |
Matches
Al Ahly SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ALA
1 - 0
GEI
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2011 |
ELS
1 - 2
ALA
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
SSU
1 - 0
ALA
32%
26%
42%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2011 |
ALA
2 - 0
SSU
60%
22%
17%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
MIS
1 - 1
ALA
40%
28%
32%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |