Zenit vs FK Vardar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zenit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
ZEN
5 - 0
TOS
69%
19%
12%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
FCR
0 - 0
ZEN
33%
26%
41%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2017 |
RBK
1 - 1
ZEN
40%
25%
35%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
ZEN
0 - 3
LOK
51%
25%
24%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
CSK
0 - 0
ZEN
40%
26%
34%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
VAR
1 - 0
PEL
62%
22%
17%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2017 |
REN
2 - 5
VAR
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
VAR
3 - 0
FKS
72%
18%
10%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2017 |
RSO
3 - 0
VAR
76%
16%
8%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
SIL
0 - 0
VAR
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |