Zenit vs Tosno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
11.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zenit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
FCR
0 - 0
ZEN
33%
26%
41%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2017 |
RBK
1 - 1
ZEN
40%
25%
35%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
ZEN
0 - 3
LOK
51%
25%
24%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
CSK
0 - 0
ZEN
40%
26%
34%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2017 |
ZEN
3 - 1
RBK
52%
24%
25%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tosno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
TOS
1 - 3
KRA
31%
26%
44%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
DIN
0 - 1
TOS
56%
24%
21%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
TOS
0 - 0
TOM
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
TOS
1 - 1
FCR
30%
27%
42%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2017 |
PER
0 - 0
TOS
44%
28%
28%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |