Zenit vs Tom Tomsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
7.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zenit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
KRS
0 - 2
ZEN
19%
24%
57%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2019 |
RBL
2 - 1
ZEN
52%
24%
23%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
ZEN
6 - 1
FCR
59%
22%
19%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
URA
1 - 3
ZEN
26%
25%
49%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2019 |
ZEN
3 - 1
SLB
40%
25%
36%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tom Tomsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
TOR
1 - 1
TOM
24%
29%
47%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2019 |
TOM
2 - 0
MOR
64%
23%
13%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
SKA
1 - 1
TOM
39%
29%
32%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
TOM
0 - 0
BAL
53%
27%
21%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
FAK
0 - 0
TOM
21%
28%
51%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |