UEFA Intertoto Cup Quarter-finals
Global 4-2
Zenit vs Tatabánya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
21.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zenit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2000 |
NKP
1 - 3
ZEN
40%
25%
35%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2000 |
DIN
1 - 2
ZEN
51%
26%
23%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2000 |
ZEN
3 - 0
NKP
56%
24%
21%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2000 |
ZEN
5 - 0
FAK
62%
24%
14%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2000 |
SPA
1 - 2
ZEN
67%
19%
13%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Tatabánya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2000 |
HNK
0 - 0
TAT
43%
25%
32%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2000 |
TAT
3 - 2
HNK
62%
21%
18%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2000 |
TAT
3 - 0
HBT
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2000 |
HBT
0 - 4
TAT
47%
24%
29%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2000 |
TAT
2 - 1
ZTE
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |