Zenit vs Shinnik Yaroslavl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zenit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
PER
0 - 2
ZEN
25%
26%
49%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2004 |
ZEN
4 - 3
FCR
62%
23%
16%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
CSK
3 - 3
ZEN
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
ZEN
2 - 2
SAT
60%
23%
17%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
FKM
1 - 1
ZEN
22%
25%
53%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Shinnik Yaroslavl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2004 |
YAR
3 - 0
LOK
35%
28%
37%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
YAR
1 - 0
DIN
45%
27%
29%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2004 |
SPA
1 - 0
YAR
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
YAR
1 - 1
ALA
62%
23%
16%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
YAR
1 - 0
KUB
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |