Europa League 1/16
Global 4-1
Zenit vs Rosenborg BK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
23.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zenit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2006 |
RBK
0 - 2
ZEN
48%
26%
27%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2005 |
BJK
1 - 1
ZEN
52%
25%
23%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2005 |
ZEN
2 - 1
SEV
39%
28%
33%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
ZEN
4 - 2
FCR
75%
18%
8%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
PER
1 - 0
ZEN
19%
25%
57%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Rosenborg BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2006 |
RBK
0 - 2
ZEN
48%
26%
27%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2005 |
LYO
2 - 1
RBK
76%
15%
9%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2005 |
RBK
1 - 1
OLP
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2005 |
RBK
0 - 2
RMA
20%
24%
56%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
RBK
1 - 1
TRO
64%
20%
16%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |